According to recently released numbers by the British Journal of Cancer, the number of mesothelioma cases will peak sometime about 10 years from now.

The study predicts the peak in mortality will come between 2011 and 2015, the highest number of deaths per year being between 1,950 and 2,450. After this peak, the mortality rate is expected to fall rapidly to a background level, depending on what residual exposure to asbestos, if any, still persists.

I wonder why the are predicting the “rapid fall”. There are so many factors involves in how long it takes for mesothelioma to actually show up, I don’t know how they could predict something like that.